← Motivation InterventionsJiesi Guo
Main findings

What we found

Immediate effects of 35 minutes of online content, delivered in a single class session, on Year 9 students’ STEM motivation, measured as expectancy, intrinsic value, utility value and (low) cost, each relative to the student’s own baseline.

A brief, structured goal-setting activity raised students’ confidence in and interest in STEM right after the session. Watching videos of women STEM role models did not produce a clear benefit, and combining the two in one session added nothing extra.

Students were randomized to an active control, goal setting only, role modeling only, or a combined condition. Cost is reverse-scored as “low cost”, so higher is better on all four outcomes. See the full design →

What happened

Supported

Goal setting boosted confidence and interest in STEM

Compared with the active control, students in the goal-setting-only condition reported higher expectancy (+0.17 SD) and intrinsic value (+0.18 SD) immediately after the session. Averaged across all conditions, goal setting had the same effect. The effects are small, and they held after correction for multiple testing. Exploratory subject analyses showed similar gains: higher expectancy in biology and chemistry, and higher intrinsic value in biology and physics.

Trade-off

…but students also saw STEM as more demanding

Conditions with goal setting were linked to higher perceived cost (effort, stress, sacrifice). In the planned contrasts, only the combined condition had significantly higher perceived cost than the active control (−0.18 SD on low cost, q = .027). Its shortened sequence left out strategy selection and the if–then plan, the steps aimed at managing difficulty, so students may have registered the demands of STEM without a plan for meeting them. For goal setting alone the estimate was imprecise (−0.14, q = .45).

No clear effect

Role-model videos showed no reliable benefit

In the planned contrasts, role modeling alone differed from control by no more than 0.04 SD on any outcome (all q ≥ .89). Similarity, identification and attainability with the models were not measured, so the study cannot tell whether the format, the dose or the mechanism was the limiting factor.

No added value

Combining the two did not do better

Against control, the combined condition raised expectancy modestly (+0.08 SD, q = .027) but not interest or usefulness. It was no better than the average of the two single activities on any outcome. Fitting both into one session meant cutting the goal review and if–then plan, so the result may reflect a diluted goal-setting dose rather than interference.

Not supported

No detectable gender difference

Contrary to our prediction, neither goal setting nor the women role models benefited girls more than boys on overall STEM motivation; no gender interaction survived correction. In exploratory arm-level contrasts, goal setting alone raised girls’, but not boys’, intrinsic and utility value for chemistry.

Exploratory

Some effects were larger in rural schools

In the three rural schools, but not the three urban schools, goal setting alone raised how useful students found STEM (+0.46 SD), a pattern repeated in biology, chemistry and physics, and role modeling alone raised expectancy (+0.11 SD). Location is confounded with school, so these are leads for replication rather than established rural–urban effects.

Planned contrasts: each condition vs the active control

The preregistered planned contrasts compare each condition, as delivered, directly with the active control on overall STEM motivation. Goal setting alone produced the largest gains, with significant improvements in expectancy and intrinsic value.

Figure 2. Planned contrasts vs the active control · STEM overall

Significant after FDR correction (q < .05)Not significantLine = 95% confidence interval
Values are model-implied standardized differences (Δ) from the active control, in baseline-SD units, from latent longitudinal models adjusting for baseline, gender, newcomer status and school location, with school-clustered standard errors. Low cost is reverse-scored: values below zero mean higher perceived cost. * q < .05 (Benjamini–Hochberg).

Table 1. Planned contrast estimates · Δ [95% CI], STEM overall

OutcomeGoal setting onlyvs active controlRole modeling onlyvs active controlCombinedvs active controlCombinedvs average of single arms · exploratory
Expectancy+0.17*[+0.03, +0.32]q = .034+0.04[−0.04, +0.12]q = .893+0.08*[+0.02, +0.14]q = .027−0.03[−0.14, +0.08]p = .601
Intrinsic value+0.18*[+0.04, +0.33]q = .034+0.01[−0.04, +0.07]q = .893+0.06[−0.02, +0.14]q = .177−0.04[−0.15, +0.07]p = .501
Utility value+0.17[−0.09, +0.43]q = .271+0.04[−0.14, +0.23]q = .893+0.08[−0.04, +0.19]q = .179−0.03[−0.15, +0.10]p = .658
Low cost−0.14[−0.49, +0.21]q = .447−0.01[−0.27, +0.25]q = .946−0.18*[−0.33, −0.04]q = .027−0.11[−0.46, +0.23]p = .525
Δ = standardized difference in baseline-SD units. Contrasts against the active control are confirmatory, with Benjamini–Hochberg q values; * q < .05. The shaded column is exploratory (unadjusted p) and asks whether the combined condition did better than the two single activities on average. Low cost is reverse-scored, so negative values mean higher perceived cost. N = 855.

Moderation: did the effects differ for different students?

We tested whether the effects on overall STEM motivation depended on student gender (confirmatory, with a predicted advantage for girls) or school location (exploratory, no prediction). Measurement invariance across gender held for all four beliefs, so boys’ and girls’ scores can be compared directly.

Table 2. Gender moderation · confirmatory

OutcomeGoal setting × genderRole modeling × gender
Expectancy−0.001p = .991q = .991+0.15p = .052q = .070
Intrinsic value−0.12p = .141q = .514+0.12p = .296q = .296
Utility value−0.07p = .564q = .753+0.15p = .047q = .070
Low cost+0.13p = .257q = .514+0.32p = .030q = .070
β is the male-minus-female difference in each factorial component effect, in baseline-SD units (preprint Table S12). None survived Benjamini–Hochberg correction (all q ≥ .514 for goal setting and ≥ .070 for role modeling), so the predicted female advantage (H3) was not supported.

Figure 3. School-location moderation · exploratory

Goal setting only vs control · Utility valueDifference = +0.54 [0.28, 0.80], q < .001
Urban−0.08
Rural+0.46*
Role modeling only vs control · ExpectancyDifference = +0.15 [0.07, 0.22], q = .001
Urban−0.03
Rural+0.11*
Role modeling (factorial effect) · Low costInteraction β = −0.35 [−0.61, −0.08], q = .039
Urban+0.13
Rural−0.22
Effects by location in baseline-SD units; solid bars and * = q < .05 within location. Only these three of the STEM-overall location tests showed corrected differences. Location is confounded with school (three schools each), so these are leads for replication, not estimates of a rural–urban effect.
Interpretation

What this means, and what it doesn’t

For schools

  • A brief online goal-setting sequence is a promising, low-cost way to strengthen STEM confidence and interest within one class session.
  • Where only one session is available, the full goal-setting sequence appears a better use of it than an abbreviated combination with role-model videos.
  • Perceived cost should be monitored, particularly when goal setting is combined with other components.
  • One null result for assigned videos is not a reason to drop role models. Interactive, sustained or locally relevant formats remain untested.

Caveats

  • Outcomes were self-reported minutes after the activity; lasting and behavioral effects are unknown.
  • Posttest data were complete for 570–590 students. Retention was lowest in the goal-setting-only condition (55.8%), where a video fault stopped some students progressing; a complete-case analysis reproduced the main pattern.
  • Students’ engagement with the content could not be measured directly.
  • Only six schools; replication across more schools is needed.
Next steps

Where the research goes from here

  1. Take goal setting apartA dismantling trial that separates the relevance prompt, SMART goal, capability appraisal and if–then plan, holding time constant.
  2. Follow students to their subject choicesTest whether the immediate gains persist beyond the posttest and carry through to students’ senior STEM subject choices.
  3. Redesign role modelingCompare chosen or matched, locally relevant and interactive models with brief videos, and measure similarity and identification as mediators.
  4. Scale up to test contextA trial in more schools, with enough rural and urban schools to test whether the rural utility-value and expectancy gains replicate.